Flippant-Fen
0xba5e59ac45068d6531e47b8d428647dfd5438122
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$1.2K
Total PnL
$-4.6K
Realised
$-117.24
Win rate
44%
18 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
6005 shares @ 16.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.2K
$210.18
- YES
Will a team from LPL (China) win MSI 2026?
94 shares @ 32.0¢·now 21.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$19.69
$-10.31
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 4?
28 shares @ 7.1¢·now 1.7¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.46
$-1.54
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET
1857 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-18.57
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 7AM ET
1113 shares @ 48.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-536.62
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET
929 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-9.29
- YES
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?
559 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET
505 shares @ 47.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-240.58
- YES
Will Trump visit China by May 8?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
464 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on June 4?$2.13Jun 4, 07:51 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jun 4, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jun 3, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jun 2, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jun 1, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.13May 31, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.13May 30, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.13May 29, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.13May 28, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.13May 27, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.13May 26, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.13May 25, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.13May 24, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.13May 23, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a team from LPL (China) win MSI 2026?$30.61May 22, 03:41 UTC
- YIELD$0.13May 22, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$1.02May 21, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?$1.03May 21, 22:54 UTC
- YIELD$0.13May 21, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.13May 20, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $11.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 3, 23:09 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 07:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 18 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".