Weepy-Yarn
0xbadace336f1a3520ec94edbb8101247e3c2a2c92
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$21.60
Total PnL
$-936.91
Realised
$21.51
Win rate
82%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
24 shares @ 50.0¢·now 42.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$10.30
$-1.70
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
24 shares @ 15.1¢·now 28.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$6.66
$3.06
- YES
Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
15 shares @ 35.7¢·now 10.8¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$1.61
$-3.74
- YES
Will PS win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
16 shares @ 6.9¢·now 7.0¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$1.12
$0.02
- YES
Will FLING win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
15 shares @ 11.3¢·now 6.5¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$0.98
$-0.72
- YES
Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
15 shares @ 7.4¢·now 4.2¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$0.62
$-0.48
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
24 shares @ 4.2¢·now 1.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.32
$-0.68
- UP
Solana Up or Down - January 31, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
XRP Up or Down - February 20, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET
563 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - March 22, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET
212 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 23, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$1.07Jul 22, 01:27 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$1.72Jul 22, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$1.13Jul 22, 01:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 22, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET$1.07Jul 20, 01:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 20, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 18, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET$1.45Jul 17, 23:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET$1.12Jul 17, 23:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET$2.67Jul 17, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET$2.03Jul 17, 00:41 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET$1.07Jul 15, 01:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET$2.12Jul 15, 01:31 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
30/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
82% win rate over 11 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
18 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
11 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $1.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 27, 07:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.