Unwitting-Prisoner
0xbb8e6477bcb4d0a79449507c607d36fd228fb243
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
87
Open notional
$15.6K
Total PnL
$-336.4K
Realised
$-24.3K
Win rate
55%
20 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 87- NO
Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?
3649 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$3.6K
$1.1K
- YES
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
3585 shares @ 56.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$3.6K
$1.5K
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
33718 shares @ 3.9¢·now 8.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.9K
$1.6K
- YES
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
3093 shares @ 20.6¢·now 50.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.5K
$909.34
- YES
Trump out as President before GTA VI?
2485 shares @ 26.7¢·now 50.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.2K
$577.93
- YES
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?
2251 shares @ 44.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.1K
$136.16
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
3072 shares @ 7.3¢·now 27.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$852.39
$628.15
- YES
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 2?
332 shares @ 70.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$332.46
$96.74
- YES
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?
515 shares @ 70.4¢·now 50.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$257.65
$-105.02
- YES
Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?
2599 shares @ 39.9¢·now 2.1¢·exp Nov 4, 2026$54.58
$-982.35
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.33Aug 5, 02:32 UTC
- YIELD$0.33Aug 4, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.33Aug 3, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.33Aug 2, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.33Aug 1, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.33Jul 31, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.33Jul 30, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.33Jul 29, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.34Jul 28, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.33Jul 27, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.31Jul 26, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.29Jul 25, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.29Jul 24, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.29Jul 23, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.28Jul 22, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.28Jul 21, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.28Jul 20, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.28Jul 19, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.27Jul 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.28Jul 17, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
39/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
55% win rate over 20 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
4 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
20 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 4
- Avg trade size
- $678.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 29, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 5, 02:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 20 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.