Clueless-Exocrine
0xbbc022fa31796f78d91ec57d92ff29df1cf20fd0
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
39
Open notional
$33.59
Total PnL
$-71.05
Realised
$13.09
Win rate
88%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 39- YES
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?
20 shares @ 21.0¢·now 66.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.20
$9.00
- YES
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
31 shares @ 67.5¢·now 26.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$8.21
$-12.71
- YES
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?
20 shares @ 37.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.90
$-3.50
- YES
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?
20 shares @ 26.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.10
$-2.10
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
20 shares @ 27.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.90
$-3.50
- YES
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 30.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.75
$-1.25
- YES
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
5 shares @ 50.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.52
$-0.97
- YES
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Keir Starmer be the first leader out in 2025?
300 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
252 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.01
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$0.55Jul 17, 14:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$0.67Jul 17, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$0.32Jul 16, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.04Jun 18, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$2.60Jun 10, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$3.95Jun 7, 17:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MiniMax have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$0.66May 28, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.05May 28, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Cuba by December 31?$2.50May 28, 05:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30? $0.36May 27, 18:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.01May 20, 05:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MiniMax have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$0.59May 19, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold have the best performance in 2026?$3.76May 19, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MiniMax have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$0.01May 19, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MiniMax have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$0.12May 19, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MiniMax have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$0.29May 19, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold have the best performance in 2026?$2.96May 18, 07:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold have the best performance in 2026?$0.68May 17, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.48May 17, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$2.52May 17, 06:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
23/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
88% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $3.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 23, 16:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 17, 14:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.