Good-Natured-Guarantee
0xbbd4ba73a0389f5aaffb07641fb8be6fd0877fe5
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
25
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-324.33
Realised
$-60.94
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- YES
No airdrop in 2025?
700 shares @ 16.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-112.90
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in May?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in May?
240 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.25
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 31?
205 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Lighter Airdrop on January 5?
200 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-2.60
- YES
Will Trump pardon SBF by October 31?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Lighter Airdrop on January 7?
160 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-5.66
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
120 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-14.36
- YES
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-04-26?
102 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-26.40
- YES
Lighter Airdrop on December 31?
100 shares @ 9.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-9.30
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 28, 2026?$0.00Jun 2, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$10.09Jun 1, 09:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 1?$10.07Jun 1, 09:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 1, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$0.82May 31, 23:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$3.92May 31, 23:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 1?$4.81May 31, 22:58 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$102.30May 31, 22:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$41.82May 31, 22:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$43.28May 31, 22:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$45.23May 31, 22:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$54.02May 31, 22:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$82.88May 31, 22:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$82.39May 31, 22:48 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$67.64May 31, 22:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$76.12May 31, 19:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?$72.38May 31, 19:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 31?$3.50May 31, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$109.71May 31, 15:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 31?$3.09May 31, 14:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $22.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 31, 11:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 10:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.