Quarterly-Norm
0xbc282e5b05970130facf457d59ec68384905557a
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
30
Open notional
$47.11
Total PnL
$-101.88
Realised
$0.04
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- YES
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
107 shares @ 14.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$15.54
$0.54
- YES
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
60 shares @ 25.1¢·now 11.5¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$6.84
$-8.16
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
30 shares @ 16.8¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.96
$-0.04
- YES
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
29 shares @ 17.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.56
$-0.44
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
18 shares @ 17.1¢·now 16.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.99
$-0.12
- NO
Will the Prosperity Party (Prosperity) win the most seats in the 2026 Ethiopian general election?
179 shares @ 3.4¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$2.86
$-3.14
- YES
Will the Ethiopian Citizens for Social Justice (EZEMA) win the most seats in the 2026 Ethiopian general election?
338 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$2.54
$-1.46
- NO
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
207 shares @ 4.1¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$2.28
$-6.22
- YES
Will Ousmane Dembélé score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2 shares @ 84.4¢·now 77.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.82
$-0.18
- YES
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
83 shares @ 6.0¢·now 2.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.67
$-3.33
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 7?$5.07Jun 7, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 7?$2.09Jun 7, 08:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on June 6?$7.19Jun 6, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on June 6?$1.57Jun 6, 05:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on June 6?$3.09Jun 6, 05:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on June 5?$4.65Jun 6, 05:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on June 6?$3.47Jun 5, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on June 6?$3.11Jun 5, 16:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 5?$6.37Jun 5, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on June 5?$2.08Jun 4, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on June 5?$2.06Jun 4, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 5?$3.08Jun 4, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on June 5?$3.11Jun 4, 11:05 UTC
- TRADESELLTamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?$7.64Jun 4, 11:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$2.30Jun 4, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$2.02Jun 4, 08:25 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?$2.62Jun 4, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$12.06Jun 3, 20:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$11.70Jun 3, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$11.05Jun 3, 19:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $4.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 1, 21:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 7, 08:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.