0xbc29b9e3a4c89d55c8a0629008ccaece830eb3b6
0xbc29b9e3a4c89d55c8a0629008ccaece830eb3b6
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
11
Open notional
$103.97
Total PnL
$-0.12
Realised
$-8.36
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
26 shares @ 66.0¢·now 98.2¢·exp May 15, 2026$25.36
$8.31
- NO
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
21 shares @ 97.1¢·now 98.2¢·exp May 15, 2026$20.72
$0.23
- YES
Will South Carolina use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
19 shares @ 79.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$14.71
$-0.28
- YES
Will Trump say "Pig" in May?
22 shares @ 69.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$14.23
$-0.76
- YES
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?
10 shares @ 76.5¢·now 92.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$8.93
$1.56
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
5 shares @ 95.0¢·now 95.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.79
$0.04
- YES
Will Trump say "China" this week?
5 shares @ 84.0¢·now 93.8¢·exp May 24, 2026$4.69
$0.49
- YES
Will Trump say "Transgender" this week?
5 shares @ 84.0¢·now 76.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$3.80
$-0.40
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
5 shares @ 71.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.58
$0.03
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
5 shares @ 56.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.88
$0.07
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$18.88May 18, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$16.51May 18, 15:13 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$18.88May 18, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$16.77May 18, 14:43 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$0.00May 18, 14:34 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$10.38May 18, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$16.93May 18, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$7.92May 18, 14:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Midterm Election" this week?$5.00May 18, 06:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$14.88May 18, 05:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$18.88May 18, 01:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$8.17May 18, 01:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$8.82May 18, 01:43 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET$18.88May 18, 00:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET$16.99May 18, 00:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET$18.88May 18, 00:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET$16.40May 18, 00:28 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET$20.12May 17, 23:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET$2.23May 17, 23:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET$5.52May 17, 23:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $8.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 11:05 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 15:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".