0xbc46258282e2783673defcfcec813fc185813281
0xbc46258282e2783673defcfcec813fc185813281
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$243.81
Total PnL
$-226.22
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
Will Andy Barr be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky?
105 shares @ 35.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$105.00
$67.55
- NO
Blue tsunami in 2026?
65 shares @ 68.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Nov 30, 2026$38.02
$-6.17
- NO
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?
38 shares @ 61.1¢·now 83.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$31.42
$8.45
- YES
Will Brad Lander be the Democratic nominee for NY-10?
32 shares @ 74.0¢·now 97.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$31.06
$7.38
- YES
Will Tom Tiffany win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Republican primary election?
15 shares @ 89.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$14.32
$0.97
- YES
Will Ashley B. Moody be the Republican nominee for Senate in Florida?
12 shares @ 85.0¢·now 98.2¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$11.78
$1.58
- NO
Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2026?
12 shares @ 76.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.45
$2.33
- YES
Will Austria recognize Palestine before 2027?
10 shares @ 9.0¢·now 7.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.74
$-0.16
- YES
Will Max Holloway be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.01
$-1.03
- NO
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?
254 shares @ 66.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-169.34
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the Philadelphia 76ers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?$39.00May 14, 14:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Domantas Sabonis be traded this season?$3.81Apr 1, 00:52 UTC
- REDEEMPistons vs. Nuggets$4.00Apr 1, 00:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Seguro win all of Portugal's districts?$10.00Apr 1, 00:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the government shutdown last 30 days or more?$10.00Apr 1, 00:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$10.00Apr 1, 00:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?$11.00Apr 1, 00:52 UTC
- REDEEMRaptors vs. Thunder$15.00Apr 1, 00:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill PayPal say "Blockchain" during earnings call?$15.00Apr 1, 00:52 UTC
- REDEEMPelicans vs. Spurs$20.00Apr 1, 00:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Elon" or "Musk" during the State of the Union address?$20.00Apr 1, 00:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill APT (Rosé and Bruno Mars) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?$50.00Apr 1, 00:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max Holloway be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?$0.01Feb 22, 10:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max Holloway be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?$0.63Feb 1, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Barr be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky?$6.78Jan 31, 06:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tom Tiffany win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Republican primary election?$13.35Jan 29, 00:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?$38.28Jan 28, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?$19.50Jan 28, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?$33.00Jan 28, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?$21.44Jan 28, 21:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $9.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 27, 23:43 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 14:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.