Bare-Spasm
0xbd79b27adc5c9fa6eea4011b45fcf098e1c3aefb
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
48
Open notional
$49.32
Total PnL
$-34.60
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 48- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
22 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$22.42
$2.47
- YES
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
8 shares @ 13.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$7.66
$6.66
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$7.14
$6.14
- NO
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 19.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$5.26
$4.26
- YES
Will Chris Gober be the Republican Nominee for TX-10?
2 shares @ 64.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$1.56
$0.56
- YES
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
11 shares @ 19.0¢·now 10.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.05
$-0.95
- YES
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 12.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.92
$-0.08
- YES
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
3 shares @ 33.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$0.86
$-0.14
- YES
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?
2 shares @ 46.0¢·now 34.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.74
$-0.26
- YES
US national Ethereum reserve before 2027?
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.73
$-0.27
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$1.00Feb 7, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$5.00Feb 7, 09:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$20.00Feb 7, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$2.00Feb 7, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chris Gober be the Republican Nominee for TX-10?$1.00Feb 7, 07:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?$2.00Feb 7, 07:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from February 10 to February 17, 2026?$1.00Feb 7, 07:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the February 2026 meeting?$1.00Feb 1, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the February 2026 meeting?$1.00Feb 1, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$1.00Feb 1, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$1.00Feb 1, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS national Ethereum reserve before 2027?$1.00Feb 1, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qualcomm (QCOM) beat quarterly earnings?$1.10Feb 1, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill EA say "EA Sports FC" during earnings call?$1.00Feb 1, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate cut by March 2026 meeting?$1.00Feb 1, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill sports prediction markets be banned in any U.S. state by March 31?$1.00Feb 1, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Coca-Cola (KO) beat quarterly earnings?$1.00Feb 1, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nasdaq 100 (NDX) hit $39,000 (HIGH) in December?$2.00Feb 1, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed emergency rate cut before 2027?$2.00Feb 1, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) close above $250 on February 2?$1.00Feb 1, 18:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 1, 18:15 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 7, 09:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".