Tan-Creativity
0xbdd08fc7a71196e4aa28741b903cb8e8ccbe550a
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
111
Open notional
$630.36
Total PnL
$-407.14
Realised
$49.83
Win rate
71%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 111- NO
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
226 shares @ 79.3¢·now 80.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$181.16
$1.53
- NO
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
100 shares @ 93.9¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 29, 2026$99.75
$5.85
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
100 shares @ 70.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$84.50
$14.50
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 67.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$82.50
$15.50
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
24 shares @ 78.3¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$23.43
$4.71
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
35 shares @ 36.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$21.59
$8.95
- YES
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?
20 shares @ 74.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$19.10
$4.30
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?
20 shares @ 64.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$15.10
$2.30
- NO
Will Neymar Jr. score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
20 shares @ 54.0¢·now 63.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$12.60
$1.80
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
50 shares @ 12.6¢·now 23.8¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$11.88
$5.56
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$1.22Jun 13, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?$80.64Jun 13, 15:54 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$9.53Jun 13, 15:48 UTC
- TRADESELLUS and Iran sign an agreement by June 22, 2026?$26.72Jun 13, 15:45 UTC
- TRADESELLUS and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?$7.40Jun 13, 15:45 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$11.65Jun 13, 15:45 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$7.50Jun 13, 15:43 UTC
- MERGEUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$100.00Jun 13, 15:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill a candidate win the 2026 Colombian presidential election in the first round?$74.88Jun 13, 14:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$14.97Jun 12, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$45.17Jun 12, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$18.06Jun 12, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$27.50Jun 12, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?$2.03Jun 12, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$10.80Jun 12, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$93.90Jun 12, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS and Iran sign an agreement by June 22, 2026?$5.00Jun 12, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS and Iran sign an agreement by June 22, 2026?$5.00Jun 12, 08:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $18.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 05:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.