Meager-Wording
0xbe1a80f467776feb356c82e6e894ccdfb399214c
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
37
Open notional
$28.39
Total PnL
$-30.97
Realised
$-0.36
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
16 shares @ 24.3¢·now 24.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.09
$0.09
- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
10 shares @ 31.6¢·now 31.6¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$3.00
$-0.01
- YES
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
192 shares @ 1.6¢·now 1.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$2.20
$-0.80
- YES
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
21 shares @ 9.7¢·now 9.8¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$2.00
$0.00
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
6 shares @ 36.3¢·now 36.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.00
$-0.00
- YES
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
78 shares @ 2.5¢·now 2.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.99
$-0.01
- NO
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
4 shares @ 56.5¢·now 55.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.97
$-0.03
- YES
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
78 shares @ 2.5¢·now 2.4¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.84
$-0.16
- YES
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
21 shares @ 9.7¢·now 5.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.06
$-0.94
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
4 shares @ 25.4¢·now 25.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.00
$-0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.04May 18, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.04May 18, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.03May 18, 10:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$0.00May 17, 21:32 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - May 17, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$0.00May 17, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 17, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$3.76May 17, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$4.17May 17, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.03May 17, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.03May 17, 12:48 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - May 16, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET$0.00May 17, 03:32 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET$10.00May 17, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 16, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET$7.73May 17, 03:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET$1.80May 17, 03:27 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$10.00May 17, 02:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$7.92May 17, 02:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$0.32May 17, 02:24 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET$10.00May 17, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET$0.53May 17, 02:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET$8.49May 17, 02:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET$10.00May 17, 01:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $2.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 19:33 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 10:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".