Married-Recipe
0xbef6dbcd63e213bae951da01536ea10627f79380
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
37
Open notional
$9.40
Total PnL
$-3.3K
Realised
$-1.5K
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
11 shares @ 82.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.40
$0.38
- YES
Will Trump issue a Gold Card before June?
2050 shares @ 39.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-808.03
- YES
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 22-28?
1266 shares @ 14.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2025$0.00
$-183.01
- YES
Will Qatar gift Trump a new Air Force One in May?
744 shares @ 25.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-190.64
- YES
Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on April 1?
125 shares @ 93.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2025$0.00
$-117.66
- NO
Bitcoin all time high in May?
110 shares @ 67.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-74.27
- YES
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?
94 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-35.66
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down on September 5?
87 shares @ 95.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 5, 2025$0.00
$-83.22
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
82 shares @ 41.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-34.11
- UP
Solana Up or Down on July 3?
78 shares @ 87.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2025$0.00
$-68.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$9.08Apr 29, 11:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?$9.68Apr 29, 11:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?$9.62Apr 22, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?$6.16Apr 22, 15:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?$15.79Apr 22, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?$14.79Apr 18, 05:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?$14.79Apr 18, 05:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?$14.70Apr 18, 02:26 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?$14.70Apr 16, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?$14.60Apr 15, 12:51 UTC
- TRADESELLChina x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$14.59Mar 21, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$12.69Feb 12, 07:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$1.56Feb 12, 02:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 9, 00:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$14.15Feb 8, 19:50 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 8, 00:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 7, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 6, 00:30 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 5, 00:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$14.00Feb 3, 12:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $14.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 5, 14:10 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 29, 11:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".