Oily-Barracks
0xbf03ecc5c53599db724ffa8e856e42bc9cc96aea
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
151
Open notional
$412.52
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$-156.37
Win rate
48%
25 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 151- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
160 shares @ 39.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$63.20
$0.80
- YES
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
122 shares @ 41.1¢·now 48.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$59.22
$9.22
- YES
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?
294 shares @ 17.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$51.47
$1.47
- YES
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?
106 shares @ 36.0¢·now 39.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$41.34
$3.18
- YES
Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)
80 shares @ 49.6¢·now 29.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$23.20
$-16.53
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
40 shares @ 50.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$22.60
$2.60
- YES
Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
50 shares @ 42.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$22.25
$1.25
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
239 shares @ 8.5¢·now 7.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$17.08
$-3.23
- YES
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
31 shares @ 38.0¢·now 45.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.89
$2.29
- YES
Will MrBeast hit 500 million subscribers by June 30?
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 66.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$11.11
$10.11
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get 48 million or more views on day 2?$1.05May 17, 21:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in May?$5.36May 17, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 17, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$1.06May 17, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$2.00May 17, 21:02 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$1.28May 17, 20:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump speak to Mark Rutte in May?$1.68May 17, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$1.05May 17, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)$33.94May 17, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)$5.91May 17, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k?$1.05May 17, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 550k and 600k?$1.05May 17, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be less than 300k?$1.05May 17, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 300k and 350k?$1.05May 17, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 350k and 400k?$1.05May 17, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k?$2.09May 17, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?$5.16May 17, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$10.00May 17, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?$52.07May 17, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Putin meet next in United States?$0.07May 17, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Putin meet next in United States?$0.12May 17, 18:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $6.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 12, 11:41 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 21:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 25 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".