Blaring-Pie
0xbf982860a233f6932be6a82efd13e3a2f37fd0bf
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
29
Open notional
$1.5K
Total PnL
$-415.14
Realised
$-32.33
Win rate
50%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
901 shares @ 80.2¢·now 54.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$491.22
$-231.78
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?
300 shares @ 40.2¢·now 92.7¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$277.95
$157.35
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?
186 shares @ 46.3¢·now 87.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$162.70
$76.70
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
121 shares @ 79.0¢·now 76.8¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$92.58
$-2.73
- YES
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
373 shares @ 29.5¢·now 22.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$82.02
$-27.98
- YES
Will Zcash dip to $100 by December 31, 2026?
779 shares @ 23.0¢·now 8.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$62.35
$-117.09
- YES
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
76 shares @ 66.0¢·now 82.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$62.12
$12.12
- YES
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?
74 shares @ 74.7¢·now 65.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$48.22
$-6.78
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
114 shares @ 44.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$40.34
$-9.66
- YES
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?
104 shares @ 48.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$32.81
$-17.19
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in July?$5.20Jul 28, 13:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Phil Weiser win the Colorado Governor Democratic Primary by 10–15%?$0.00Jul 28, 12:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026?$1.04Jul 28, 12:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?$5.67Jul 28, 12:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Solana reach $80 in July?$15.11Jul 28, 11:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?$23.47Jul 28, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$30.40Jul 27, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$10.27Jul 27, 16:25 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?$46.00Jul 27, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026?$1.04Jul 27, 11:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be at least 58 million?$0.00Jul 27, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?$3.16Jul 27, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?$10.31Jul 26, 15:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andrea Pirlo be the next head coach of the Italian National Soccer Team?$11.77Jul 26, 15:19 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winner$6.90Jul 26, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winner$6.04Jul 26, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Phil Weiser win the Colorado Governor Democratic Primary by 10–15%?$4.16Jul 26, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?$20.00Jul 26, 01:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?$1.20Jul 26, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?$5.18Jul 26, 01:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $18.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 23, 17:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 13:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.