Woeful-Owner
0xbfbaa409da3d3ecf31b55d14c4c864cb67f0f650
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$433.40
Total PnL
$-111.56
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?
344 shares @ 49.0¢·now 55.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$188.97
$20.62
- NO
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
40 shares @ 50.0¢·now 96.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$38.52
$18.52
- NO
Will Meituan have a #1 AI model by June 30?
37 shares @ 98.1¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$37.12
$0.60
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
32 shares @ 93.2¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$32.01
$2.01
- NO
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?
30 shares @ 86.0¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$29.68
$3.88
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
30 shares @ 91.4¢·now 88.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$26.48
$-0.94
- YES
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
136 shares @ 22.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$17.05
$-12.95
- NO
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by June 30, 2026?
18 shares @ 79.9¢·now 86.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$15.15
$1.16
- YES
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?
77 shares @ 52.4¢·now 18.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.24
$-26.10
- NO
Will Baidu have a #1 AI model by June 30?
13 shares @ 95.1¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$13.08
$0.56
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 30, 2026?$8.06Jun 10, 00:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by June 30, 2026?$14.09Jun 10, 00:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?$15.96Jun 10, 00:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$27.51Jun 10, 00:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?$30.00Jun 9, 19:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?$35.00Jun 9, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?$6.81Jun 3, 11:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?$13.18Jun 3, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?$9.89Jun 3, 11:54 UTC
- REDEEMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$30.00Jun 3, 04:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?$121.79May 22, 05:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?$50.00May 22, 05:18 UTC
- REDEEMTrump out as President by March 31?$5.19May 22, 05:15 UTC
- REDEEMICE shooter charged by March 31?$40.00May 22, 05:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?$40.00May 22, 05:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Germany win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$50.00Mar 1, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$47.00Feb 5, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$9.00Feb 3, 19:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the government shutdown last 3 days or more?$50.00Feb 2, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$20.00Feb 2, 00:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $23.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 11, 08:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 10, 00:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.