Ornery-Sarong
0xbfd2ef600af4cbef273299968d970e3d4e5f66dc
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
1
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-4.10
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- REWARD$1.03Jul 23, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?$21.06Jul 22, 09:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?$24.12Jul 22, 09:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Oil," "Gas," or "Gasoline" during remarks in Georgia?$1.00Jul 22, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Oil," "Gas," or "Gasoline" during remarks in Georgia?$5.10Jul 22, 06:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?$347.97Jul 11, 05:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?$347.59Jul 11, 04:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Mykhailivka by May 31?$15.45May 30, 05:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Mykhailivka by May 31?$57.25May 30, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Mykhailivka by May 31?$33.20May 30, 04:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Mykhailivka by May 31?$39.50May 30, 04:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?$480.60May 29, 07:31 UTC
- TRADESELLUS military draft authorized in 2026?$244.80May 29, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?$487.94May 29, 06:28 UTC
- TRADESELLUS military draft authorized in 2026?$490.50May 29, 06:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS military draft authorized in 2026?$743.47May 29, 04:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?$24.57May 28, 08:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?$717.08May 28, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?$741.65May 28, 06:40 UTC
- TRADESELLYoon out of custody before 2027?$744.57May 28, 06:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
26 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $352.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 1, 05:43 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 00:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.