Athletic-Manager
0xc01ff7687f1380629b83fcd7b6767875c399cd8e
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
165
Open notional
$24.2K
Total PnL
$-10.9K
Realised
$-2.4K
Win rate
29%
31 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 165- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
9445 shares @ 42.4¢·now 49.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$4.7K
$675.16
- NO
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
2894 shares @ 69.7¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$2.9K
$844.66
- YES
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
3374 shares @ 74.1¢·now 75.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$2.5K
$47.26
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
2532 shares @ 79.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$2.1K
$88.61
- YES
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
2405 shares @ 83.2¢·now 80.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.9K
$-63.87
- YES
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
12578 shares @ 19.2¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$1.4K
$-964.17
- NO
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
1274 shares @ 70.6¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.2K
$278.47
- NO
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1623 shares @ 61.6¢·now 66.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.1K
$81.98
- YES
Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?
1067 shares @ 93.7¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$1.1K
$65.23
- YES
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
13502 shares @ 3.7¢·now 4.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$585.98
$85.98
Recent activity
- TRADESELLIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?$42.86Jun 13, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?$50.00Jun 13, 04:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.45Jun 13, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$1.6KJun 12, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romeu Zema finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$51.95Jun 12, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$1.0KJun 12, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$31.18Jun 12, 12:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$23.02Jun 12, 12:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$1.5KJun 12, 12:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?$4.0KJun 12, 12:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Momentum win the third-most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?$397.73Jun 12, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hunor Kelemen be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$25.99Jun 12, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?$511.20Jun 12, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$207.04Jun 12, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$103.52Jun 12, 07:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$155.85Jun 12, 07:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.0KJun 12, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$103.52Jun 12, 05:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$506.73Jun 12, 05:41 UTC
- REDEEMStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$3.2KJun 12, 04:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $445.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 31, 23:24 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 14:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 31 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.