Fitting-Notice
0xc02007bfd8ccc1af718c759b7d07150ace0fd2b4
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$179.35
Total PnL
$-203.42
Realised
$1.47
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
24 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$24.39
$1.46
- NO
Will Saikat Chakrabarti receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?
24 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$24.39
$1.46
- NO
Will Arsenal finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?
24 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$24.00
$1.44
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
20 shares @ 35.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$19.51
$12.68
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
12 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.46
$6.23
- NO
Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the Eastern Conference?
11 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$11.30
$0.90
- NO
Will any World Cup game scheduled in the U.S. be relocated abroad?
11 shares @ 91.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$11.30
$0.92
- NO
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?
11 shares @ 92.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$11.28
$0.89
- NO
Will Vedat Muriqi be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?
11 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$11.18
$0.78
- NO
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?
11 shares @ 92.0¢·now 93.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.54
$0.15
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Saikat Chakrabarti receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?$2.96May 28, 00:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saikat Chakrabarti receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?$19.96May 21, 04:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$22.93May 19, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?$22.56May 19, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vedat Muriqi be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?$10.40May 10, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?$5.95May 8, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$6.23May 8, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$6.53May 8, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$6.83May 8, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by December 31?$7.15May 8, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$7.49May 7, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYEpstein suicide note released by May 31?$15.61May 7, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYEpstein suicide note released by May 8?$15.67May 7, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?$10.40Apr 25, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Philadelphia Flyers win the Eastern Conference?$10.40Apr 23, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Putin meet next in China?$1.20Apr 22, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Putin meet next in China?$4.60Apr 22, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Putin meet next in China?$4.60Apr 22, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any World Cup game scheduled in the U.S. be relocated abroad?$10.38Apr 22, 20:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the New York Knicks win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?$26.67Apr 22, 20:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $12.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 30, 21:32 UTC
- Last active
- May 28, 00:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.