Tangible-Authority
0xc023f3c9bd849bc0b905f8e37069289f7c425ae8
Wallet digest
Activity score
98/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
20
Open notional
$6.8K
Total PnL
$43.56
Realised
$207.36
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
1227 shares @ 97.8¢·now 97.8¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$1.2K
$-0.61
- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
1037 shares @ 96.4¢·now 96.0¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$995.33
$-4.67
- NO
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
1132 shares @ 58.1¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$967.58
$310.02
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
787 shares @ 89.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$711.80
$11.80
- NO
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?
702 shares @ 88.0¢·now 95.2¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$668.05
$50.52
- NO
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?
600 shares @ 96.2¢·now 98.3¢·exp Oct 1, 2026$589.80
$12.60
- NO
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
444 shares @ 90.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$397.78
$-2.22
- NO
Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by December 31, 2026?
344 shares @ 81.7¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$290.60
$9.60
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
303 shares @ 92.1¢·now 95.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$290.28
$10.97
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
343 shares @ 82.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$289.83
$8.57
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.12Jul 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 15, 00:11 UTC
- REWARD$32.68Jul 15, 00:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jul 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jul 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jul 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jul 10, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMFrance vs. Morocco: Team to Advance$12.82Jul 9, 22:30 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 9, 00:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 8, 00:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYMorocco to score first vs. France?$5.11Jul 7, 19:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France vs. Morocco end in a draw?$20.45Jul 7, 19:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Morocco: Team to Advance$10.07Jul 7, 19:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$95.64Jul 7, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?$1.2KJul 7, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$1.0KJul 7, 19:41 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 7, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 6, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 5, 00:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
16/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
75% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
19 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 63/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $223.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 27, 02:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 16, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.