Grizzled-Face
0xc07751cea841b51d19d9035139d5abac6d81ee32
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
42
Open notional
$3.05
Total PnL
$-54.59
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 42- NO
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?
2 shares @ 95.8¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$2.07
$0.07
- NEW YORK YANKEES
Minnesota Twins vs. New York Yankees
2 shares @ 65.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.98
$-0.02
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- WASHINGTON NATIONALS
Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets
185 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-0.44
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 29?
140 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-0.14
- CLEMENT TABUR
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Clement Tabur
130 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.20
- BOSTON RED SOX
Detroit Tigers vs. Boston Red Sox
110 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-0.35
- NO
Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?
50 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.05
- LOS ANGELES DODGERS
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
33 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 29?
25 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-0.10
Recent activity
- REDEEMSan Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers$1.56Jul 3, 05:37 UTC
- REDEEMTampa Bay Rays vs. Kansas City Royals$1.85Jul 3, 02:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Austria win on 2026-07-02?$1.08Jul 2, 21:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of June 29 above $225?$25.00Jul 2, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of June 29 above $225?$24.95Jul 2, 12:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?$2.00Jul 2, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austria win on 2026-07-02?$1.00Jul 2, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYTampa Bay Rays vs. Kansas City Royals AND Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies AND Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers$0.99Jul 2, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYTampa Bay Rays vs. Kansas City Royals AND Minnesota Twins vs. New York Yankees$1.00Jul 2, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYMinnesota Twins vs. New York Yankees$1.01Jul 2, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYSan Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers$1.01Jul 2, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYTampa Bay Rays vs. Kansas City Royals$1.01Jul 2, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYSt. Louis Cardinals vs. Atlanta Braves$1.01Jul 2, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiami Marlins vs. Colorado Rockies$1.01Jul 2, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYCincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers$1.01Jul 2, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYPittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies$1.01Jul 2, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 29?$0.10Jun 25, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 29?$0.06Jun 25, 17:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Czechia win on 2026-06-24?$3.95Jun 25, 03:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Haiti win on 2026-06-24?$5.21Jun 25, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $2.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 26, 18:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 3, 05:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.