Necessary-Flash
0xc0d83eb781c7676675baa59c0f532bf9cd9028be
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$166.98
Total PnL
$-438.63
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will GBP/USD hit 1.00 (Low) in 2026?
133 shares @ 93.8¢·now 74.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$98.94
$-25.63
- NO
Will GBP/USD hit 1.45 (High) in 2026?
37 shares @ 67.2¢·now 77.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$28.69
$3.64
- NO
Will Suzzanna V. Tanner advance to the general election for WA-03?
8 shares @ 89.0¢·now 98.6¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$7.88
$0.76
- NO
Will Antony Barran advance to the general election for WA-03?
8 shares @ 92.0¢·now 97.9¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$7.83
$0.47
- NO
Will Eric Vaughan advance to the general election for WA-03?
8 shares @ 92.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$7.80
$0.44
- NO
Will Lawrence Kellogg advance to the general election for WA-03?
8 shares @ 88.0¢·now 97.4¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$7.79
$0.75
- NO
Will Brent Hennrich advance to the general election for WA-03?
8 shares @ 89.0¢·now 95.1¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$7.61
$0.49
- NO
Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez advance to the general election for WA-03?
9 shares @ 12.0¢·now 2.8¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$0.25
$-0.83
- NO
Will John Braun advance to the general election for WA-03?
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 1.6¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$0.20
$-0.84
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - February 18, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
600 shares @ 50.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-304.76
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?$2.0KMay 12, 15:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GBP/USD hit 1.00 (Low) in 2026?$99.51Apr 27, 08:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GBP/USD hit 1.00 (Low) in 2026?$25.05Apr 27, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill John Braun advance to the general election for WA-03?$1.04Apr 14, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marie Gluesenkamp Perez advance to the general election for WA-03?$1.08Apr 14, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Antony Barran advance to the general election for WA-03?$7.36Apr 14, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brent Hennrich advance to the general election for WA-03?$7.12Apr 14, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lawrence Kellogg advance to the general election for WA-03?$7.04Apr 14, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eric Vaughan advance to the general election for WA-03?$7.36Apr 14, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Suzzanna V. Tanner advance to the general election for WA-03?$7.12Apr 14, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$79.92Apr 14, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$14.20Apr 13, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GBP/USD hit 1.45 (High) in 2026?$25.05Apr 3, 20:37 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 28, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$0.00Apr 3, 10:47 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - December 28, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET$0.00Apr 3, 10:47 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$0.00Apr 3, 10:47 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - December 28, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET$0.00Mar 25, 12:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$0.00Mar 25, 12:44 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 28, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET$0.00Mar 25, 12:44 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - December 28, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$0.00Mar 25, 12:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 63/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $10.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 19, 22:29 UTC
- Last active
- May 12, 15:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.