PoliticsExpires Aug 4, 2026

Will Brent Hennrich advance to the general election for WA-03?

Probability

24¢

1h

+3.0pp

24h

+0.0pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$5.6K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 19:00Apr 25, 2026, 17:51
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  1. 1

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 2406h with open resolution ambiguity.

  2. 2

    Wide spread — 15.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 2406.1h

    LOW
  • 17:51Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 2406h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW

Price movement

+3.0pp over the last 24h, now 23¢.

Biggest hourly move: -10.5pp at 1d ago (to 14¢).

Show all 37 hour-by-hour ticks
  • 16:00 · -5.5pp → 16¢
  • 11:00 · +8.0pp → 23¢
  • 06:00 · -5.5pp → 17¢
  • 05:00 · +7.0pp → 24¢
  • 03:00 · -6.0pp → 16¢
  • 00:00 · +3.5pp → 23¢
  • 21:00 · -4.0pp → 21¢
  • 1d ago · +3.5pp → 24¢
  • 1d ago · +7.5pp → 26¢
  • 1d ago · -10.5pp → 14¢
  • 1d ago · +6.0pp → 23¢
  • 2d ago · +5.0pp → 23¢
  • 2d ago · +3.0pp → 22¢
  • 2d ago · +3.5pp → 23¢
  • 2d ago · +3.0pp → 20¢
  • 2d ago · -4.0pp → 20¢
  • 2d ago · -4.0pp → 17¢
  • 2d ago · +4.0pp → 24¢
  • 2d ago · -6.5pp → 16¢
  • 3d ago · -3.0pp → 21¢
  • 3d ago · -5.5pp → 20¢
  • 3d ago · -5.0pp → 21¢
  • 3d ago · -4.0pp → 20¢
  • 3d ago · -5.0pp → 15¢
  • 3d ago · +4.5pp → 21¢
  • 3d ago · +4.0pp → 22¢
  • 3d ago · -6.5pp → 17¢
  • 3d ago · -5.0pp → 19¢
  • 3d ago · -4.0pp → 20¢
  • 3d ago · -4.5pp → 19¢
  • 3d ago · -3.5pp → 20¢
  • 3d ago · -4.5pp → 19¢
  • 4d ago · -6.0pp → 18¢
  • 4d ago · -3.5pp → 20¢
  • 4d ago · -8.5pp → 15¢
  • 4d ago · -5.5pp → 18¢
  • 4d ago · -6.5pp → 17¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

The non-partisan primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 WA-03 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Aug 4, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
consensus of credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
Market type
Binary
  • Wide spread (15.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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