Will Brent Hennrich advance to the general election for WA-03?
Probability
24¢
1h
+3.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$5.6K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 2406h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Wide spread — 15.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 2406.1h
- 17:51SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 2406h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
+3.0pp over the last 24h, now 23¢.
Biggest hourly move: -10.5pp at 1d ago (to 14¢).
Show all 37 hour-by-hour ticks
- 16:00 · -5.5pp → 16¢
- 11:00 · +8.0pp → 23¢
- 06:00 · -5.5pp → 17¢
- 05:00 · +7.0pp → 24¢
- 03:00 · -6.0pp → 16¢
- 00:00 · +3.5pp → 23¢
- 21:00 · -4.0pp → 21¢
- 1d ago · +3.5pp → 24¢
- 1d ago · +7.5pp → 26¢
- 1d ago · -10.5pp → 14¢
- 1d ago · +6.0pp → 23¢
- 2d ago · +5.0pp → 23¢
- 2d ago · +3.0pp → 22¢
- 2d ago · +3.5pp → 23¢
- 2d ago · +3.0pp → 20¢
- 2d ago · -4.0pp → 20¢
- 2d ago · -4.0pp → 17¢
- 2d ago · +4.0pp → 24¢
- 2d ago · -6.5pp → 16¢
- 3d ago · -3.0pp → 21¢
- 3d ago · -5.5pp → 20¢
- 3d ago · -5.0pp → 21¢
- 3d ago · -4.0pp → 20¢
- 3d ago · -5.0pp → 15¢
- 3d ago · +4.5pp → 21¢
- 3d ago · +4.0pp → 22¢
- 3d ago · -6.5pp → 17¢
- 3d ago · -5.0pp → 19¢
- 3d ago · -4.0pp → 20¢
- 3d ago · -4.5pp → 19¢
- 3d ago · -3.5pp → 20¢
- 3d ago · -4.5pp → 19¢
- 4d ago · -6.0pp → 18¢
- 4d ago · -3.5pp → 20¢
- 4d ago · -8.5pp → 15¢
- 4d ago · -5.5pp → 18¢
- 4d ago · -6.5pp → 17¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
The non-partisan primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 WA-03 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Aug 4, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- consensus of credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (15.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
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