Lean-Mobility
0xc173ac12db5516f7a06ed5b4eefa9a5ab102ca79
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
31
Open notional
$52.12
Total PnL
$-153.66
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- NO
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
15 shares @ 33.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$12.80
$7.80
- YES
No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027
20 shares @ 24.6¢·now 34.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$6.91
$1.91
- YES
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
19 shares @ 25.9¢·now 32.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.25
$1.25
- NO
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-17 House seat?
6 shares @ 86.0¢·now 89.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$5.17
$0.17
- YES
Will the Republican Party win the MD-01 House seat?
6 shares @ 83.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$5.03
$0.03
- NO
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
15 shares @ 34.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$4.93
$-0.07
- NO
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
8 shares @ 66.3¢·now 54.1¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$4.08
$-0.92
- NO
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?
20 shares @ 25.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Sep 10, 2026$3.90
$-1.10
- NO
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
7 shares @ 73.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$3.05
$-1.95
- OVER
Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 5.5
334 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$5.15Jul 20, 19:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?$5.13Jul 20, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027$5.15Jul 20, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win the TX-17 House seat?$5.03Jul 20, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?$5.19Jul 20, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$5.08Jul 20, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?$5.10Jul 20, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the MD-01 House seat?$5.03Jul 20, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$5.13Jul 20, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$5.07Jul 15, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?$5.14Jul 15, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 15?$5.29Jul 15, 10:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?$1.02Jun 30, 22:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYLionel Messi: 1+ goals$5.04Jun 27, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWimbledon, Qualification WTA: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Storm Hunter$12.21Jun 24, 18:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Colombia vs. DR Congo end in a draw?$15.79Jun 24, 04:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill DR Congo win on 2026-06-23?$8.18Jun 24, 04:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Colombia vs. DR Congo end in a draw?$12.09Jun 24, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DR Congo win on 2026-06-23?$7.23Jun 24, 01:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ghana win on 2026-06-23?$4.38Jun 23, 22:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $7.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 20, 22:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 19:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.