Cold-Piano
0xc19ac10345e01a3c26a242b30064c17c3f6866f9
active
Quality score
70/100
Open positions
5
Open notional
$8.64
Total PnL
$-0.36
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
5 shares @ 93.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.98
$-0.02
- YES
Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
2 shares @ 43.0¢·now 70.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$1.63
$0.63
- NO
Anthropic acquired before 2027?
1 shares @ 90.6¢·now 95.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.06
$0.06
- YES
Will any xAI Grok model score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Exam?
2 shares @ 60.0¢·now 35.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.58
$-0.42
- YES
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
2 shares @ 52.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.39
$-0.61
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-21?$1.273d ago
- REDEEMWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15?$0.009d ago
- REDEEMWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-11?$1.3112d ago
- REDEEMWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-10?$0.0014d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-21?$1.0016d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15?$1.0016d ago
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-11?$1.0016d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-10?$1.0016d ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET$1.2617d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET$1.0017d ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$1.0517d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$1.0017d ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$0.0017d ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$0.0017d ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$0.0017d ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$1.0517d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$1.0017d ago
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out before 2027?$5.0017d ago
- TRADEBUYAnthropic acquired before 2027?$1.0022d ago
- REDEEMWill OpenAI GPT score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$1.4132d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $1.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 68d ago
- Last active
- 3d ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.