Affectionate-Switch
0xc2493de6e5c556d87e579664f30b4aa40230eb24
Wallet digest
Activity score
93/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
49
Open notional
$220.41
Total PnL
$-30.12
Realised
$84.87
Win rate
75%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 49- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
114 shares @ 69.0¢·now 82.3¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$93.99
$15.24
- YES
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
58 shares @ 50.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$32.76
$3.76
- YES
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win between 40% and 45% of votes in the first round of the 2026 Colombian election?
94 shares @ 11.7¢·now 16.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$15.02
$4.02
- YES
Will Paloma Valencia win less than 10% of votes in the first round of the 2026 Colombian election?
56 shares @ 18.0¢·now 25.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$13.89
$3.89
- YES
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
8298 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$12.45
$-5.15
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
80 shares @ 20.5¢·now 13.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$10.80
$-5.60
- YES
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
48 shares @ 21.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.76
$-0.24
- YES
Will Paloma Valencia win between 10% and 15% of votes in the first round of the 2026 Colombian election?
16 shares @ 31.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$7.99
$2.99
- YES
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win between 35% and 40% of votes in the first round of the 2026 Colombian election?
31 shares @ 32.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$7.97
$-2.03
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
100 shares @ 6.3¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$4.45
$-1.85
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$1.07May 30, 01:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$1.07May 30, 01:25 UTC
- TRADESELLAtlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds$0.43May 30, 00:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYAtlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds$1.03May 30, 00:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paloma Valencia win between 10% and 15% of votes in the first round of the 2026 Colombian election?$7.57May 30, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$79.73May 29, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$5.27May 29, 01:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYThunder vs. Spurs$7.14May 29, 01:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win at least 45% of votes in the first round of the 2026 Colombian election?$3.11May 28, 23:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win between 35% and 40% of votes in the first round of the 2026 Colombian election?$10.27May 28, 23:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win between 40% and 45% of votes in the first round of the 2026 Colombian election?$11.39May 28, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paloma Valencia win between 10% and 15% of votes in the first round of the 2026 Colombian election?$10.28May 28, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paloma Valencia win less than 10% of votes in the first round of the 2026 Colombian election?$10.33May 28, 18:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$0.00May 28, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$5.30May 28, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYColorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers$1.03May 28, 02:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$2.98May 28, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$5.32May 27, 14:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$5.64May 27, 04:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Thunder$1.03May 27, 02:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $8.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 23, 22:57 UTC
- Last active
- May 30, 01:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".