Busy-Page
0xc24f0686aae913fd32032ee03eb2db371891adf8
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
27
Open notional
$2.3K
Total PnL
$-5.7K
Realised
$-1.7K
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
3833 shares @ 15.7¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$364.17
$-235.82
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
2000 shares @ 14.8¢·now 15.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$301.00
$4.00
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
2111 shares @ 18.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$242.78
$-137.22
- YES
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
1600 shares @ 20.9¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$216.00
$-118.00
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
597 shares @ 33.5¢·now 33.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$197.91
$-2.09
- YES
Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
1000 shares @ 17.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$195.00
$25.00
- YES
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
11859 shares @ 5.3¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$136.38
$-488.61
- YES
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
1005 shares @ 26.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$135.69
$-125.43
- YES
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
1000 shares @ 14.0¢·now 13.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$130.00
$-10.00
- YES
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
2099 shares @ 23.7¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$94.47
$-402.36
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIsrael and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?$2.65Jun 15, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$90.00Jun 15, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$10.00Jun 15, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?$0.49Jun 15, 03:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 15, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?$0.92Jun 14, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?$70.00Jun 14, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?$42.00Jun 14, 21:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran close its airspace by June 15?$120.72Jun 14, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close its airspace by June 30?$156.30Jun 14, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close its airspace by June 15?$129.96Jun 14, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?$6.75Jun 14, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?$18.30Jun 14, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?$8.07Jun 14, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 30?$64.87Jun 14, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 30?$14.35Jun 14, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 30?$140.78Jun 14, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?$1.63Jun 14, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?$0.15Jun 14, 06:29 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 14, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $106.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 1, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 15, 11:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.