Silent-Something
0xc289e28b16a6e35104603be57386a70183a7feda
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$111.76
Total PnL
$-121.60
Realised
$-2.19
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will any xAI Grok model score at least 30% on the FrontierMath Exam?
133 shares @ 17.3¢·now 42.5¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$56.43
$33.43
- YES
Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?
252 shares @ 15.8¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$26.49
$-13.51
- YES
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
58 shares @ 52.1¢·now 21.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$12.10
$-17.90
- YES
Will OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
26 shares @ 38.9¢·now 37.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.52
$-0.48
- YES
Will Google Gemini score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
32 shares @ 31.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$4.03
$-5.97
- YES
Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
56 shares @ 18.0¢·now 5.8¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$3.19
$-6.81
- YES
Will MrBeast say "Subscribe" during his next YouTube video?
333 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding on March 31?
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Claude 4.7 released by June 30?
87 shares @ 49.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-43.17
- YES
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?
81 shares @ 6.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYClaude 4.7 released by June 30?$43.1729d ago
- TRADESELLWill Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?$43.0729d ago
- REDEEMWill Leavitt say "ICE" or "National Guard" during the next White House Press Briefing?$0.0034d ago
- REDEEMWill Leavitt say "State of the Union" during the next White House Press Briefing?$0.0034d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?$5.0048d ago
- TRADESELLWill Google have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?$2.4050d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?$3.0050d ago
- TRADESELLVEO 4 released by March 31, 2026?$5.7151d ago
- TRADESELLWill Google have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?$226.1351d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?$300.0051d ago
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$42.5151d ago
- TRADESELLGPT-5.4 released by March 9?$54.6251d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?$30.0052d ago
- TRADEBUYVEO 4 released by March 31, 2026?$4.0052d ago
- TRADESELLWill Leavitt say "Fake news" during the next White House Press Briefing?$9.9952d ago
- TRADESELLWill Leavitt say "Energy" during the next White House Press Briefing?$3.0352d ago
- TRADESELLWill Leavitt say "Historic" during the next White House Press Briefing?$3.0952d ago
- TRADESELLWill Leavitt say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during the next White House Press Briefing?$3.1252d ago
- TRADESELLWill Leavitt say "Stand" during the next White House Press Briefing?$3.0352d ago
- TRADESELLWill Leavitt say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during the next White House Press Briefing?$3.0352d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $22.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 64d ago
- Last active
- 29d ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.