Dark-Neonate
0xc35793db316a56a58cc39d9252e2fa543d5fe776
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
63
Open notional
$1.63
Total PnL
$-141.86
Realised
$6.51
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 63- YES
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
91 shares @ 1.1¢·now 1.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.05
$0.05
- YES
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.58
$-0.42
- FALCONS
Overwatch: ZETA DIVISION vs Falcons - Game 3 Winner
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Lee Jin-sook win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?
588 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Thornton Cooper be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?
431 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 Truist Championship?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?$5.08Jun 1, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$14.00May 19, 04:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 15 and May 22?$1.04May 19, 04:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?$0.24May 17, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?$1.04May 15, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?$1.04May 15, 08:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$16.89May 15, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$24.64May 15, 00:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.86May 15, 00:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.91May 15, 00:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.46May 15, 00:20 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$12.79May 15, 00:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI release a social network in 2026?$1.73May 15, 00:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?$2.17May 15, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?$1.03May 14, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$1.04May 14, 10:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$6.12May 14, 10:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$1.05May 13, 23:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in May?$1.23May 13, 23:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$6.19May 13, 23:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
17/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
60% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 63/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $7.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 18:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 07:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.