Arid-Cannibal
0xc3aa4b38128def2aa7602e92986ae9b5d97e8df2
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$87.10
Total PnL
$-45.90
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will Hong Kong have between 210-220mm of precipitation in May?
51 shares @ 99.0¢·now 74.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$37.75
$-12.25
- NO
Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?
20 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$20.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Hong Kong have between 200-210mm of precipitation in May?
20 shares @ 99.3¢·now 73.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$14.73
$-5.27
- NO
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of June?
5 shares @ 91.0¢·now 98.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.40
$0.40
- NO
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?
5 shares @ 98.8¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.03
$0.03
- YES
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?
7 shares @ 68.5¢·now 57.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$4.18
$-0.82
- YES
Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
3001 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 13?
17 shares @ 90.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
5 shares @ 84.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- SYGAMING
Honor of Kings: LT Gaming vs SYGaming (BO5) - KPL Growth League Group Stage
4 shares @ 83.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Hong Kong have between 200-210mm of precipitation in May?$20.01May 18, 04:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hong Kong have between 210-220mm of precipitation in May?$50.02May 18, 04:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$70.85May 18, 04:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$20.01May 15, 07:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$50.03May 15, 07:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 14?$30.15May 15, 07:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 14?$32.03May 15, 07:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 14?$50.05May 15, 07:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 14?$20.00May 14, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 14?$30.00May 14, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 14?$30.01May 14, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 14?$32.00May 14, 07:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 13?$20.12May 14, 07:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Denver be 66°F or higher on May 13?$60.23May 14, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 13?$15.10May 13, 03:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 13?$20.01May 13, 03:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 7°C on May 11?$2.00May 13, 03:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 9?$30.03May 13, 03:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 9?$53.05May 13, 03:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be 66°F or higher on May 13?$60.01May 12, 08:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $28.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 24, 04:14 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 04:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".