SportsMulti-outcomeExpires Oct 31, 2026

Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?

Probability

26¢

1h

+13.0pp

24h

+15.0pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$1.2K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.5pp 7d
Apr 19, 2026, 01:00Apr 25, 2026, 20:57
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  • 1

    Up 15pp over 24h

    Now 26¢; +13.0pp in the last hour.

  • 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 4515h with open resolution ambiguity.

  • 3

    Wide spread — 46.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 4515.0h

    LOW
  • 20:57Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 4515h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW

Price movement

+15.0pp over the last 24h, now 26¢.

Biggest hourly move: -16.0pp at 2d ago (to 11¢).

Show all 18 hour-by-hour ticks
  • 20:57 · +14.5pp → 26¢
  • 1d ago · -14.5pp → 11¢
  • 1d ago · -15.0pp → 11¢
  • 1d ago · -15.5pp → 11¢
  • 1d ago · -13.5pp → 11¢
  • 1d ago · -13.5pp → 11¢
  • 1d ago · -13.5pp → 11¢
  • 2d ago · -13.5pp → 11¢
  • 2d ago · -14.5pp → 11¢
  • 2d ago · -15.5pp → 11¢
  • 2d ago · -13.5pp → 11¢
  • 2d ago · -14.5pp → 11¢
  • 2d ago · -15.5pp → 11¢
  • 2d ago · -15.5pp → 11¢
  • 2d ago · -16.0pp → 11¢
  • 2d ago · -15.5pp → 11¢
  • 2d ago · -13.5pp → 11¢
  • 2d ago · -15.0pp → 12¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is determined as the champion of the WNBA for the 2026 season. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to named as the champion of WNBA for the 2026 season per the rules of WNBA (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, postponed after November 14, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the WNBA: however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Oct 31, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
consensus of credible reporting
Type
News consensus
Confidence
extracted · medium
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
  • Wide spread (46.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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