Disguised-Spider
0xc40681969b90c1e54527775fa48273a06bef07d9
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$35.6K
Total PnL
$-12.8K
Realised
$914.48
Win rate
81%
26 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?
7049 shares @ 4.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$7.0K
$6.7K
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
4738 shares @ 52.6¢·now 77.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.7K
$1.2K
- NO
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
3622 shares @ 79.1¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.4K
$557.08
- NO
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?
3877 shares @ 66.3¢·now 82.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.2K
$607.58
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
10000 shares @ 0.7¢·now 23.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.3K
$2.3K
- NO
Iran leadership change by December 31?
2000 shares @ 38.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.6K
$830.52
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
1525 shares @ 83.0¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.5K
$249.40
- NO
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
1575 shares @ 87.1¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.5K
$85.01
- NO
Insurrection Act invoked by June 30?
1375 shares @ 70.7¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.3K
$374.49
- NO
Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?
1357 shares @ 86.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.2K
$20.35
Recent activity
- YIELD$1.00Jun 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$1.01Jun 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$1.02Jun 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$1.03Jun 10, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$1.03Jun 9, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$1.02Jun 8, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$1.01Jun 7, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$1.01Jun 6, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$1.01Jun 5, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$1.01Jun 4, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$1.01Jun 3, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$1.15Jun 2, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$1.24Jun 1, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$1.23May 31, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$1.24May 30, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$1.23May 29, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vance say "Fake News" during Air Force Academy Address?$5.43May 28, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vance say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Air Force Academy Address?$46.01May 28, 05:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vance say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Air Force Academy Address?$56.00May 28, 05:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vance say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Air Force Academy Address?$2.99May 28, 05:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $61.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 19, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 26 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.