Sociable-Resistance
0xc440c68eeef8c4e0782ba26e77def7596ccd2e0e
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
68
Open notional
$1.1K
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$-45.20
Win rate
50%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 68- YES
Will Trump and Putin not meet?
121 shares @ 82.8¢·now 93.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$113.47
$13.47
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
130 shares @ 77.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$111.04
$11.04
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
93 shares @ 96.0¢·now 98.2¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$90.99
$1.99
- YES
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?
78 shares @ 76.5¢·now 89.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$69.84
$9.84
- YES
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
75 shares @ 84.2¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$63.95
$0.95
- NO
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
60 shares @ 83.5¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$55.39
$5.39
- NO
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?
64 shares @ 78.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$53.53
$3.53
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
58 shares @ 86.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$52.03
$2.03
- NO
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
74 shares @ 68.2¢·now 67.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$49.35
$-0.88
- NO
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
61 shares @ 82.0¢·now 79.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$48.26
$-1.74
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.30 and $2.60 on June 30, 2026?$7.49May 30, 04:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.90 and $3.20 on June 30, 2026?$15.47May 30, 04:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.60 and $2.90 on June 30, 2026?$30.86May 30, 04:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.60 and $2.90 on June 30, 2026?$29.25May 30, 04:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.60 and $2.90 on June 30, 2026?$30.32May 30, 04:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?$38.78May 30, 02:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?$15.77May 30, 02:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?$21.29May 29, 05:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?$20.10May 29, 05:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of June?$37.88May 28, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?$60.56May 27, 06:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$63.83May 27, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?$4.02May 25, 03:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?$4.21May 25, 03:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?$59.37May 25, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?$6.21May 25, 03:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?$63.93May 22, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.6T by June 30?$10.06May 21, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by June 30?$10.04May 21, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?$10.02May 21, 08:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $23.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 30, 11:35 UTC
- Last active
- May 30, 04:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".