Improbable-Forgery
0xc442d950bc7060c2aa018009bba10a53bc868d9c
active
Quality score
75/100
Open positions
3
Open notional
$296.97
Total PnL
$-78.42
Realised
$-5.30
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
760 shares @ 19.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$155.80
$11.40
- YES
Will Kanye West visit Israel by June 30?
654 shares @ 31.7¢·now 19.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$127.53
$-80.04
- YES
Will Kanye West visit the UK by June 30?
273 shares @ 6.6¢·now 5.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$13.64
$-4.48
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Kanye West visit Israel by June 30?$150.0012h ago
- REDEEMWill Coursera (COUR) beat quarterly earnings?$0.001d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Kanye West visit Israel by June 30?$40.001d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Kanye West visit the UK by June 30?$19.001d ago
- TRADESELLWill Coca-Cola (KO) beat quarterly earnings?$16.281d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Kanye West visit Israel by June 30?$18.001d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Kanye West visit Israel by June 30?$6.901d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Coca-Cola (KO) beat quarterly earnings?$1.061d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Coursera (COUR) beat quarterly earnings?$2.502d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Coca-Cola (KO) beat quarterly earnings?$24.842d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Coursera (COUR) beat quarterly earnings?$1.102d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Coursera (COUR) beat quarterly earnings?$48.102d ago
- REDEEMWill Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?$276.842d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?$50.003d ago
- TRADESELLUS strike on Cuba by December 31?$214.893d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$144.407d ago
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Cuba by December 31?$260.009d ago
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$44.0014d ago
- REDEEMMilitary action against Iran ends on April 8, 2026?$0.0014d ago
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$0.0014d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $55.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 19d ago
- Last active
- 12h ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.