Scrawny-Psychiatrist-Sprat
0xc44b064dab3acb6ef338f058b094716c9b7fcbdd
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$17.70
Total PnL
$-0.30
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
2 shares @ 60.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.37
$0.37
- YES
Will there be fewer than 2 ChatGPT outages in May 2026?
1 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.09
$0.09
- NO
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by June 30?
1 shares @ 87.0¢·now 92.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.06
$0.06
- YES
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 25m?
1 shares @ 96.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$1.04
$0.04
- NO
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?
1 shares @ 87.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.03
$0.03
- YES
Will Trump and Putin not meet?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 96.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.03
$0.03
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
1 shares @ 83.5¢·now 85.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Thailand strikes Cambodia by June 30, 2026?
1 shares @ 92.9¢·now 94.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- YES
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?
1 shares @ 76.0¢·now 76.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
1 shares @ 98.7¢·now 98.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.00
$-0.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?$1.10Jun 1, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?$1.01May 30, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 25m?$1.00May 30, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$1.01May 30, 10:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYThailand strikes Cambodia by June 30, 2026?$1.00May 30, 10:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?$1.02May 30, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.01May 30, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Code Commits hit (LOW) 450.0k by June 30?$1.00May 30, 10:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be fewer than 2 ChatGPT outages in May 2026?$1.00May 30, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by June 30?$1.01May 30, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?$1.01May 30, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine re-enter Maliivka by December 31?$1.00May 30, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?$1.00May 30, 10:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit Russia in 2026?$1.01May 30, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit Ukraine in 2026?$1.00May 30, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia invade another country in 2026?$1.00May 30, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?$1.00May 30, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Putin not meet?$1.00May 30, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?$1.00May 30, 09:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?$1.00May 30, 09:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 30, 09:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 19:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".