Jam-Packed-Dividend
0xc4567fe2a835b23f40db07f567ba0efbbdc98996
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
87
Open notional
$47.6K
Total PnL
$4.9K
Realised
$2.8K
Win rate
81%
42 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 87- NO
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?
17128 shares @ 78.8¢·now 80.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$13.7K
$199.82
- NO
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?
10821 shares @ 82.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$9.0K
$162.44
- NO
Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?
4798 shares @ 83.1¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.4K
$450.62
- NO
Will ANSEM flip PUMP by December 31, 2026?
2632 shares @ 86.2¢·now 89.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.3K
$73.04
- YES
Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch?
2833 shares @ 55.4¢·now 71.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$2.0K
$442.69
- NO
Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027?
1980 shares @ 89.3¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.8K
$42.57
- NO
Altcoin market cap dip to $150B before 2027?
5608 shares @ 18.9¢·now 31.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.8K
$709.32
- YES
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?
1690 shares @ 77.5¢·now 84.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$1.4K
$109.03
- YES
Will Papertrade launch a token by June 30, 2027?
1407 shares @ 85.3¢·now 92.1¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$1.3K
$95.15
- NO
Abstract FDV above $1B one day after launch?
1383 shares @ 84.8¢·now 88.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$1.2K
$44.55
Recent activity
- MERGEWill $ANSEM reach $0.6 before 2027?$102.00Jul 28, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill $ANSEM reach $0.6 before 2027?$219.23Jul 28, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ANSEM flip PUMP by December 31, 2026?$3.81Jul 28, 19:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?$76.47Jul 28, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?$97.89Jul 28, 15:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?$2.51Jul 28, 15:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill HYPE flip SOL by December 31?$730.12Jul 28, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?$9.61Jul 28, 14:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?$42.50Jul 28, 13:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?$109.41Jul 28, 13:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sui reach $1.80 before 2027?$24.66Jul 28, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYPuffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch?$10.40Jul 28, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robinhood Chain launch a token by December 31, 2026?$4.96Jul 28, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?$1.70Jul 28, 12:21 UTC
- TRADESELLCambria FDV above $70M one day after launch?$15.31Jul 28, 12:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sui reach $1.80 before 2027?$3.55Jul 28, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?$817.64Jul 28, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?$30.00Jul 28, 10:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cap dip to $0.01 before 2027?$11.06Jul 28, 08:01 UTC
- MERGEFed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?$49.84Jul 28, 07:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
71/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
81% win rate over 42 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
42 closed markets, 81% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $259.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 27, 15:37 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 19:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 42 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.