Insignificant-Criminal
0xc460016e3a7735134a55a4c28256300336c1cae6
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
150
Open notional
$66.50
Total PnL
$-292.26
Realised
$3.38
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 150- YES
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
25 shares @ 23.6¢·now 22.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.71
$-0.29
- YES
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
7 shares @ 33.0¢·now 81.7¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$5.57
$3.31
- YES
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
714 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.64
$-0.36
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
377 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.83
$-11.17
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
25 shares @ 16.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.63
$-1.38
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
2 shares @ 50.0¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.99
$0.98
- YES
Ebola pandemic in 2026?
25 shares @ 8.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.88
$-0.13
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?
50 shares @ 8.0¢·now 3.6¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.82
$-2.17
- YES
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
500 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.75
$-1.25
- YES
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
30 shares @ 6.7¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.64
$-0.36
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$0.75Jun 13, 13:56 UTC
- SPLITWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$4.00Jun 13, 13:52 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 9, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 8, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 7, 00:15 UTC
- SPLITWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$1.00Jun 6, 11:39 UTC
- SPLITWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$1.00Jun 6, 11:37 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 6, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?$1.00Jun 4, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?$2.00Jun 4, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?$1.00Jun 4, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?$1.00Jun 4, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no listed leader be out before 2027?$1.00Jun 4, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?$1.00Jun 4, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$1.00Jun 4, 13:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $1.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 27, 04:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 13:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.