Major-Lumber
0xc4b2f71aa0d50e677e68902a6e8f45a076e99ad2
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$2.67
Total PnL
$-189.76
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- NO
Will the New York Yankees clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?
22 shares @ 45.0¢·now 12.0¢·exp Sep 28, 2026$2.67
$-7.33
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?
9501 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-9.50
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?
4750 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-4.75
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?
626 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.91
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on April 5?
595 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-8.56
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 10?
356 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-4.75
- NO
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
213 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-34.06
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 6°C or higher on April 7?
180 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-4.76
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 7?
95 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- NO
Houthi strike on Israel by April 15, 2026?
94 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$12.38Apr 25, 21:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?$12.40Apr 25, 21:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?$10.97Apr 25, 21:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?$10.01Apr 25, 21:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Milwaukee Brewers clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?$6.67Apr 25, 21:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day?$3.75Apr 25, 21:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$7.00Apr 25, 21:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?$7.19Apr 25, 21:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?$6.00Apr 25, 21:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?$4.87Apr 25, 21:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day?$1.95Apr 25, 21:53 UTC
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$3.68Apr 25, 21:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the April 2026 unemployment rate be 4.4%?$3.27Apr 25, 21:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?$2.86Apr 25, 21:52 UTC
- TRADESELLUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$2.22Apr 25, 21:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$1.43Apr 25, 21:52 UTC
- TRADESELLOpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?$1.45Apr 25, 21:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Los Angeles Dodgers clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?$0.24Apr 25, 21:52 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?$0.02Apr 25, 21:52 UTC
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$1.79Apr 25, 21:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $6.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 8, 03:44 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 25, 21:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".