Relieved-Traveler
0xc516445f09b57d7f2467df8e52015ac92e4b0c12
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$56.99
Total PnL
$0.15
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?
17 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$17.14
$0.07
- NO
Will SpaceX have exactly 16 launches in April?
12 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$11.54
$0.02
- NO
Will SpaceX have exactly 14 launches in April?
11 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$10.82
$0.02
- NO
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 200M by May 1?
10 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$10.37
$0.02
- NO
Will SpaceX have exactly 15 launches in April?
7 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$7.11
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill US crude oil reserves fall to 200M by May 1?$10.35Apr 28, 23:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX have exactly 15 launches in April?$7.10Apr 27, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX have exactly 16 launches in April?$11.52Apr 27, 10:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on April 24?$28.05Apr 27, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX have exactly 14 launches in April?$10.80Apr 27, 04:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 26?$9.23Apr 27, 03:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?$17.07Apr 26, 02:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 25?$4.93Apr 26, 02:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 26?$9.20Apr 25, 13:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?$10.06Apr 25, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 25?$4.90Apr 25, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on April 24?$28.00Apr 24, 05:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 23?$8.82Apr 24, 05:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Austin be 70°F or higher on April 23?$25.07Apr 24, 05:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?$10.01Apr 23, 03:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 23?$8.80Apr 23, 03:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 22?$11.66Apr 23, 03:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be 70°F or higher on April 23?$25.00Apr 22, 17:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 21?$22.02Apr 22, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 22?$11.60Apr 21, 16:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $17.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 3, 04:11 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 28, 23:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.