Honored-Tomography
0xc5990477fd24e168fbf25f627865c81d910cd730
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$14.17
Total PnL
$-390.63
Realised
$3.02
Win rate
73%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?
8 shares @ 35.3¢·now 29.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.51
$-0.49
- YES
Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?
27 shares @ 11.3¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.46
$-1.54
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
10 shares @ 15.3¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.42
$-0.08
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
14 shares @ 37.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.42
$-3.58
- YES
Will October be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.27
$0.27
- YES
Will November be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?
7 shares @ 15.0¢·now 18.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.20
$0.20
- YES
Will August be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.04
$0.04
- YES
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
14 shares @ 21.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.93
$-2.07
- YES
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?
13 shares @ 7.6¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.85
$-0.15
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
17 shares @ 11.8¢·now 3.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.65
$-1.35
Recent activity
- REDEEMUS forces enter Iran by December 31?$1.72Apr 9, 10:23 UTC
- REDEEMUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$4.62Apr 9, 10:23 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 9PM ET$1.40Apr 5, 13:43 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET$1.86Apr 5, 13:43 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 9AM ET$1.89Apr 5, 13:43 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 5AM ET$1.89Apr 5, 13:43 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 6AM ET$1.89Apr 5, 13:43 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 10PM ET$1.89Apr 5, 13:43 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 3AM ET$1.89Apr 5, 13:43 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 2AM ET$1.93Apr 5, 13:43 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 11PM ET$1.93Apr 5, 13:43 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$1.93Apr 5, 13:43 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 12AM ET$1.93Apr 5, 13:43 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 1AM ET$1.93Apr 5, 13:43 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 11PM ET$1.93Apr 5, 13:43 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$3.86Apr 5, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 4AM ET$1.00Apr 5, 01:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 4AM ET$1.00Apr 5, 01:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 3AM ET$1.00Apr 5, 01:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 2AM ET$1.00Apr 5, 01:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
35/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
73% win rate over 11 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 37/100.
11 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 1, 19:38 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 9, 10:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.