Mammoth-Tiara
0xc59be5c63af9e42647140c99092e6d12fda67849
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$22.29
Total PnL
$-90.71
Realised
$2.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will Brazil be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?
74 shares @ 44.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$19.68
$-12.99
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10 shares @ 13.0¢·now 16.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.65
$0.34
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10 shares @ 14.0¢·now 9.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.96
$-0.43
- YES
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on June 30?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Taylor Swift pregnant in 2025?
88 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
40 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Caspian Sea" during C5+1 Summit on November 6?
25 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 6, 2025$0.00
$-15.64
- NO
Will Trump release more Epstein files in 2025?
21 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
20 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET
20 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-0.80
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?$33.22Jun 8, 03:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$30.00Jun 8, 03:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$1.65May 13, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$25.65May 12, 03:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET$0.93May 12, 02:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET$0.80Mar 27, 02:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$12.00Mar 27, 02:37 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$9.50Mar 27, 02:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?$0.60Mar 27, 02:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by April 30?$2.70Mar 25, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$5.70Mar 25, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$8.20Mar 25, 04:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?$1.20Mar 25, 02:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$1.00Mar 25, 02:24 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$6.50Mar 25, 02:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$4.50Mar 25, 02:20 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$20.00Mar 25, 02:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$19.16Jan 19, 02:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.40Jan 19, 01:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.30Jan 19, 01:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $15.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 14, 03:53 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 8, 03:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.