0xc5f042db7d668412d4d2bf546c8b9e94b4395b97
0xc5f042db7d668412d4d2bf546c8b9e94b4395b97
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
25
Open notional
$15.95
Total PnL
$-13.08
Realised
$0.89
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- YES
2026 U.S. Senate Election: Republican Odds under 50% by March 31?
5 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$5.00
$2.50
- YES
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
10 shares @ 37.0¢·now 35.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$3.50
$-0.20
- YES
Will Shannon Bird be the Democratic nominee for CO-08?
5 shares @ 38.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.58
$0.68
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026?
20 shares @ 11.5¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.50
$-0.80
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5 shares @ 10.9¢·now 16.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.81
$0.27
- YES
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
5 shares @ 5.2¢·now 10.8¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$0.54
$0.28
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Alabama Senate race in 2026?
10 shares @ 7.0¢·now 5.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.50
$-0.20
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
5 shares @ 11.0¢·now 6.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.31
$-0.24
- YES
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?
3 shares @ 47.8¢·now 8.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.25
$-1.25
- YES
Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2026?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 2.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.23
$-0.76
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?$4.80Mar 29, 03:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$0.80Mar 4, 23:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?$0.82Mar 4, 23:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?$4.00Mar 4, 23:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$2.53Mar 4, 23:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Catherine Fleming Bruce be the Democratic nominee for Senate in North Carolina?$0.26Mar 4, 23:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBillionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?$1.85Mar 4, 13:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?$2.39Mar 4, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.26Mar 4, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUY2026 U.S. Senate Election: Republican Odds under 50% by March 31?$2.50Mar 4, 05:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$0.76Mar 4, 04:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.55Mar 4, 03:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBillionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?$1.85Mar 4, 03:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYGTA VI released before June 2026?$0.12Mar 4, 02:16 UTC
- TRADESELLBillionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?$3.90Mar 4, 01:55 UTC
- TRADESELL2026 U.S. Senate Election: Republican Odds under 50% by March 31?$2.54Mar 4, 01:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?$1.35Mar 4, 00:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chip Keating win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?$0.78Mar 3, 04:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$0.55Mar 3, 04:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sinners win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.28Mar 3, 04:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 22, 18:32 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 29, 03:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.