Negligible-County
0xc7147957296632a136f829051d9ab02d14b9ecf5
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$31.17
Total PnL
$6.17
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
16 shares @ 63.0¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$15.63
$5.63
- NO
Exact Score: Czechia 0 - 2 South Africa?
10 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$10.31
$0.31
- NO
Will Bhutan win on 2026-06-04?
5 shares @ 95.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$5.24
$0.24
Recent activity
- REDEEMSPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 18?$0.00Jun 18, 20:27 UTC
- REDEEMSPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 18?$0.00Jun 18, 20:27 UTC
- REDEEMSPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 18?$5.06Jun 18, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYSPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 18?$5.00Jun 18, 17:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$6.95Jun 18, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$7.04Jun 18, 15:15 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9AM ET$0.00Jun 18, 14:53 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9AM ET$0.00Jun 18, 14:53 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9AM ET$5.77Jun 18, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Czechia 0 - 2 South Africa?$10.01Jun 18, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9AM ET$5.64Jun 18, 13:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$7.98Jun 18, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$8.01Jun 18, 12:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.97Jun 18, 09:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.02Jun 18, 09:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$5.93Jun 18, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$6.06Jun 18, 06:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9.98Jun 18, 05:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.01Jun 18, 05:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.99Jun 18, 03:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $7.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 4, 18:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 18, 20:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.