Spirited-Bid
0xc71b43cf1a6c9f79743bdf5e15a763d93d7ce265
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$2.8K
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$-92.41
Win rate
40%
82 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
215 shares @ 70.3¢·now 69.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$148.42
$-2.85
- NO
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
162 shares @ 70.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$122.66
$8.94
- NO
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?
103 shares @ 86.4¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$88.88
$0.06
- NO
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
100 shares @ 85.0¢·now 85.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$85.80
$0.80
- NO
Will the Republican Party win the OH-08 House seat?
471 shares @ 19.5¢·now 18.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$84.74
$-7.16
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
277 shares @ 30.3¢·now 29.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$81.85
$-2.16
- NO
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
82 shares @ 75.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp May 29, 2026$81.11
$19.97
- NO
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
100 shares @ 77.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$79.50
$2.50
- NO
Israel closes its airspace by June 13?
71 shares @ 80.9¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$70.96
$13.14
- YES
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?
93 shares @ 68.0¢·now 69.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$64.20
$0.92
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 20, 2026?$12.20Jun 13, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by June 30?$32.40Jun 13, 12:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Claude Code Commits be at least 750.0k on June 30?$3.15Jun 13, 12:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$125.12Jun 13, 12:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$10.88Jun 13, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?$29.50Jun 13, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mohammed bin Salman sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$42.00Jun 13, 12:00 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$22.47Jun 13, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Warsh say "FED" during June Press Conference?$8.00Jun 13, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Warsh say "FED" during June Press Conference?$2.00Jun 13, 11:57 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump talks to Cuba leader Diaz-Canel by June 30?$1.00Jun 13, 11:49 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump talks to Cuba leader Diaz-Canel by June 30?$1.00Jun 13, 11:49 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump talks to Cuba leader Diaz-Canel by June 30?$5.00Jun 13, 11:49 UTC
- TRADESELLUS and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?$1.83Jun 13, 11:47 UTC
- TRADESELLUS and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?$5.53Jun 13, 11:43 UTC
- TRADESELLUS and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?$3.87Jun 13, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$148.00Jun 13, 11:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?$28.00Jun 13, 11:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Kindrashivka by July 31?$7.12Jun 13, 11:17 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$135.37Jun 13, 11:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $28.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 04:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 12:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 82 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.