Stupendous-Ultimatum
0xc747cd0c45b5c9f4ab5aa80792332cddf66fde65
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-11.9K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?
6719 shares @ 12.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-824.07
- YES
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
5199 shares @ 25.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.3K
- YES
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?
4966 shares @ 40.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.0K
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
3708 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.0K
- YES
Iran leadership change by April 30?
3529 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-741.00
- YES
Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 30?
3170 shares @ 15.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-500.00
- YES
Will Canada strike Iran by March 31?
2830 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2377 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.6K
- NO
Will George Russell win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?
1636 shares @ 30.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-500.00
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on February 9, 2026 (ET)?
1599 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-45.30
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 31?$778.00May 4, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?$22.08May 2, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?$62.00May 2, 20:57 UTC
- REDEEMUFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)$511.32May 2, 20:55 UTC
- REDEEMUFC Fight Night: Beneil Dariush vs. Quillan Salkilld (Lightweight, Main Card)$256.41May 2, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Beneil Dariush vs. Quillan Salkilld (Lightweight, Main Card)$201.32May 2, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)$274.82May 1, 08:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$570.27May 1, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$500.00Apr 24, 22:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?$740.00Apr 24, 22:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner$160.00Apr 17, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner$160.00Apr 17, 18:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$1.5KApr 13, 16:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?$57.75Apr 12, 19:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$1000.00Apr 5, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 30?$500.00Apr 5, 17:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran strike Cyprus in March?$0.00Apr 5, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$1.0KApr 5, 16:54 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$2.5KApr 5, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffs$203.00Mar 29, 10:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $677.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 2, 10:00 UTC
- Last active
- May 4, 16:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.