Conventional-Region
0xc7b14385bfed154691aef556f2c3a6d86031752e
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$97.93
Total PnL
$-30.07
Realised
$-0.50
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $110B by July 31?
100 shares @ 93.0¢·now 92.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$92.00
$-1.00
- NO
Ostium FDV above $2B one day after launch?
1 shares @ 96.9¢·now 95.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.98
$-0.02
- NO
Base FDV above $8B one day after launch?
1 shares @ 80.0¢·now 78.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$0.97
$-0.02
- NO
Puffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch?
1 shares @ 95.7¢·now 92.1¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.96
$-0.04
- NO
Huddle FDV above $400M one day after launch?
1 shares @ 99.3¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.96
$-0.04
- NO
MagicBlock FDV above $300M one day after launch?
1 shares @ 98.4¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.89
$-0.11
- NO
Unit FDV above $1B one day after launch?
1 shares @ 82.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$0.63
$-0.37
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?
1 shares @ 87.0¢·now 46.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$0.53
$-0.47
- NONGSHIM RED FORCE
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs
725 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-18.50
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on March 21?
18 shares @ 28.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $110B by July 31?$93.26Jul 1, 07:37 UTC
- TRADESELLHurupay FDV above $50M one day after launch?$1.00Jul 1, 07:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?$107.53Jul 1, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?$100.49Jun 11, 22:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?$100.00Jun 11, 22:58 UTC
- REWARD$54.46May 30, 00:25 UTC
- REWARD$5.00May 30, 00:20 UTC
- REWARD$4.17May 26, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: Phantom vs Brute (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Stage$0.00May 25, 23:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Phantom vs Brute (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Stage$26.28May 25, 15:04 UTC
- TRADESELLStandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?$0.98May 25, 13:12 UTC
- TRADESELLMetamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?$1.01May 25, 13:12 UTC
- TRADESELLTheo FDV above $700M one day after launch?$1.06May 25, 13:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?$1.18May 25, 13:11 UTC
- TRADESELLExtended FDV above $800M one day after launch?$2.26May 25, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs$2.50May 25, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs$2.50May 25, 13:03 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs$1.00May 25, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs$15.42May 25, 13:01 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs$232.50May 25, 13:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $35.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 20, 11:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 1, 07:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.