Hurupay FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Probability
7¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-11.2pp
24h Vol
$294.93
Liquidity
$437.35
Probability (last 7 days)
-10.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Down 11pp over 24h
Now 7¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 6011h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 7.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 6011.0h
- 18:01SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 6011h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
-18.6pp over the last 24h, now 7¢.
Biggest hourly move: +25.3pp at 20:00 (to 30¢).
Show all 46 hour-by-hour ticks
- 00:00 · +7.0pp → 12¢
- 22:00 · +22.1pp → 27¢
- 20:00 · +25.3pp → 30¢
- 1d ago · +13.8pp → 19¢
- 1d ago · +13.0pp → 18¢
- 1d ago · +8.7pp → 14¢
- 1d ago · +3.4pp → 9¢
- 2d ago · -16.1pp → 6¢
- 2d ago · -18.1pp → 6¢
- 2d ago · -18.6pp → 6¢
- 2d ago · -19.4pp → 6¢
- 2d ago · -10.3pp → 6¢
- 2d ago · -15.4pp → 6¢
- 2d ago · -15.3pp → 6¢
- 2d ago · -6.8pp → 12¢
- 2d ago · -7.9pp → 13¢
- 2d ago · -4.7pp → 17¢
- 2d ago · -15.6pp → 6¢
- 2d ago · -14.7pp → 6¢
- 2d ago · -9.5pp → 12¢
- 2d ago · -15.4pp → 6¢
- 2d ago · -16.2pp → 7¢
- 3d ago · -18.2pp → 7¢
- 3d ago · -20.2pp → 7¢
- 3d ago · -20.4pp → 7¢
- 3d ago · -21.1pp → 7¢
- 3d ago · -20.6pp → 7¢
- 3d ago · -19.6pp → 8¢
- 3d ago · -21.3pp → 7¢
- 3d ago · -22.5pp → 6¢
- 3d ago · -9.8pp → 7¢
- 3d ago · -11.3pp → 7¢
- 3d ago · -14.0pp → 7¢
- 3d ago · -14.8pp → 7¢
- 3d ago · -13.3pp → 9¢
- 3d ago · -8.8pp → 7¢
- 3d ago · -10.9pp → 5¢
- 3d ago · -11.6pp → 5¢
- 3d ago · -12.3pp → 5¢
- 3d ago · -11.5pp → 5¢
- 3d ago · -11.7pp → 5¢
- 4d ago · -11.8pp → 5¢
- 4d ago · -11.1pp → 6¢
- 4d ago · -8.3pp → 8¢
- 4d ago · -8.9pp → 8¢
- 4d ago · -11.1pp → 6¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Hurupay's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Hurupay (https://x.com/HurupayApp) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jan 1, 2027
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- using the total token supply multiplied by the token priceAmbiguous wordingextracted · lowx.com
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (7.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.