Impressive-Atelier
0xc7c2e819892c77a9a19ebf8a2f9efd17ae1bfcbe
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
28
Open notional
$1.6K
Total PnL
$-253.89
Realised
$539.29
Win rate
45%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- YES
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 6, 2026?
886 shares @ 80.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$886.00
$171.00
- UNDER
New England Revolution vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 4.5
420 shares @ 82.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$249.90
$-94.50
- NO
Will Robert White Jr. win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?
193 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$193.00
$5.79
- YES
Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?
825 shares @ 74.1¢·now 15.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$124.16
$-487.16
- NO
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?
74 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$74.00
$18.50
- NO
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?
51 shares @ 64.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$51.00
$18.36
- YES
5kt meteor strike in 2026?
25 shares @ 44.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.88
$-5.13
- NO
Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026?
2 shares @ 44.0¢·now 78.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.56
$0.68
- NO
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 69.8¢·now 92.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.92
$0.22
- YES
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?
2 shares @ 34.5¢·now 35.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.71
$0.02
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?$600.78Apr 27, 07:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Olivia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?$56.38Apr 21, 08:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?$188.73Apr 12, 20:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?$127.62Apr 11, 09:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?$654.03Apr 11, 09:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 18%+?$14.28Apr 11, 09:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 18%+?$22.82Apr 11, 09:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Ghawar Field by April 30?$55.84Apr 11, 09:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Ghawar Field by April 30?$26.88Apr 11, 09:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Ghawar Field by April 30?$3.45Apr 11, 09:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Ghawar Field by April 30?$86.40Apr 11, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?$611.33Apr 11, 00:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 18%+?$22.75Apr 10, 23:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 18%+?$11.70Apr 10, 23:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?$162.69Apr 10, 22:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?$619.71Apr 9, 13:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?$91.00Apr 9, 13:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 6 - 12?$113.88Apr 9, 12:08 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?$2.72Apr 9, 10:36 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?$87.04Apr 9, 10:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
27/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
45% win rate over 11 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 63/100.
11 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $217.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 26, 07:21 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 07:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.