Humongous-Veteran
0xc7cdeb61b801f0c31eea7410e3321d2c3d80093a
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$675.58
Total PnL
$-14.9K
Realised
$427.09
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
2200 shares @ 12.5¢·now 13.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$287.10
$12.10
- YES
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Vietnam" before 2027?
1000 shares @ 19.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$175.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
500 shares @ 22.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$117.50
$7.50
- YES
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
350 shares @ 27.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$85.72
$-8.75
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
161 shares @ 6.2¢·now 4.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.37
$-3.63
- YES
Will Xi Jinping purge Li Xi in 2026?
169 shares @ 1.3¢·now 1.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.45
$0.25
- YES
Hengam Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
576 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.44
$-2.31
- YES
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5333 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-86.00
- YES
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Argentina?
3571 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 1 England?
3448 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$1.59Aug 1, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Aug 1, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$0.00Jul 31, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - Games of the Future Group D$102.60Jul 31, 20:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$0.00Jul 31, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$4.69Jul 31, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$4.94Jul 31, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$2.22Jul 31, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$0.20Jul 31, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$0.45Jul 31, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$0.49Jul 31, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$0.50Jul 31, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$4.50Jul 31, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$7.87Jul 31, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$3.15Jul 31, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$3.52Jul 31, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$0.20Jul 31, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$0.50Jul 31, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$4.10Jul 31, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$0.70Jul 31, 20:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $4.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 31, 20:19 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 1, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.