Definite-Yawl
0xc7e4e9ca99618573d022b95d3e4893f960e5b332
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
11
Open notional
$205.59
Total PnL
$-363.62
Realised
$-12.64
Win rate
40%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Over 4 coins launched in 2026 end the year in the top 100?
286 shares @ 91.0¢·now 69.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$197.31
$-62.95
- YES
Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
21 shares @ 33.0¢·now 30.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$6.30
$-0.63
- YES
Will Bernadette Wilson advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?
3 shares @ 45.0¢·now 66.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$1.98
$0.63
- NO
Will ETHGAS launch a token by December 31, 2026?
315 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-37.80
- NO
Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in blocks during the 2025–26 NBA season?
294 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-114.66
- YES
Will Kristi Noem be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
211 shares @ 17.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-36.06
- YES
Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to 10–15 years in prison?
151 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-80.03
- NO
Will Liam rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?
63 shares @ 18.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-11.65
- YES
Dan Clancy out as Twitch CEO in 2025?
47 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.65
- YES
Will Ariana Grande be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
5 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.70
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have a #1 AI model by June 30?$0.88Jun 2, 03:55 UTC
- REDEEMParamount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?$2.00Jun 2, 03:55 UTC
- REDEEMBody-cam footage of Maduro capture released by Jan 31?$20.00Jun 2, 03:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?$375.00Jun 2, 03:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tempo launch a token by March 31, 2026?$1.0KJun 2, 03:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Leavitt say "Baby" or "Pregnant" during the next White House press briefing?$1.2KJun 2, 03:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$43.52Feb 8, 19:15 UTC
- TRADESELLBased FDV above $2B one day after launch?$1.44Feb 8, 18:24 UTC
- REDEEMOver $50M committed to the Ranger public sale?$63.00Jan 12, 11:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kristi Noem be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?$13.86Jan 11, 13:23 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?$122.85Jan 11, 11:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Liam rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?$120.69Jan 11, 03:54 UTC
- TRADESELLOver $160B wagered on US sports betting in 2026?$79.90Jan 10, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tempo launch a token by March 31, 2026?$796.86Jan 10, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $160B wagered on US sports betting in 2026?$79.90Jan 10, 20:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill fewer than 1550 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?$40.29Jan 10, 19:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill fewer than 1550 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?$10.71Jan 10, 19:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill fewer than 1550 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?$312.84Jan 10, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liam rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?$158.54Jan 10, 18:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Olivia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?$11.95Jan 10, 17:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $174.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 10, 08:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 03:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.