Over $160B wagered on US sports betting in 2026?
Probability
48¢
1h
-0.1pp
24h
-1.8pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$49.80
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.4pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Down 2pp over 24h
Now 48¢; -0.1pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 6016h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 87.5¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 6016.4h
- 12:36SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 6016h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.3pp
to 54¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.2pp
to 53¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 53¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.4pp
to 57¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.4pp
to 57¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.4pp
to 57¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.4pp
to 57¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.4pp
to 57¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.4pp
to 57¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.4pp
to 57¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.0pp
to 57¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.9pp
to 55¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 53¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.4pp
to 57¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.6pp
to 57¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.6pp
to 57¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.5pp
to 57¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.3pp
to 53¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.2pp
to 52¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.5pp
to 57¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.7pp
to 57¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.7pp
to 57¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.8pp
to 57¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.0pp
to 57¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.2pp
to 53¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.8pp
to 53¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.0pp
to 50¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.8pp
to 50¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total amount wagered on U.S. sports betting in 2026 is greater than the number specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The resolution source will be Legal Sports Report (https://www.legalsportsreport.com/sports-betting-states/revenue/), using the “U.S. sports betting revenue by month” table. The annual data will be calculated by summing the values in the “Handle” column for all months in 2026 once the relevant information is available. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, the market will resolve based on other reliable sources
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- Jan 1, 2027
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
- Wide spread (87.5¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).